Ground Zero on Wall Street
Tuesday, December 23rd, 2008 What is going on? The
Why Lend Money for Free?
The
What
Ellen Brown writes: In the last two weeks, two federal interest rates hit all-time record lows. On
December 16, the market was taken by surprise when Fed Chairman Ben
Bernanke lowered the federal funds rate (the interest banks pay to
borrow the reserves they need to meet their reserve requirement) to zero. The
explanation given was that the Federal Reserve was just setting the
rate closer to where banks had already been trading with each other for
weeks.In an even more stunning development, the week before that the federal government itself began borrowing money for free. “We were all watching it agog,” said a Treasury spokesman of the December 9 auction of three-month Treasury bills. Investors were so hungry for Treasury debt that they were snatching up the T-bills at zero percent interest. In the secondary market (investors buying from each other), Treasuries were actually trading at a negative interest rate. That meant buyers were paying more than they would get back when the Treasuries came due. Even at these unprecedented rates of non-return, the Treasury was having trouble keeping up with the demand. Four times as much money wanted in as was sought by the government, indicating much more demand than availability.
credit market remains so tight that state and local governments are
being forced to pay interest rates as high as 20 percent. Why
is the debt of our insolvent federal government so much more desirable
that investors are clamoring to buy it when the return is zero or even negative? The U.S. government is the most indebted nation in the world, with an official federal debt topping $10 trillion. Everyone knows that this debt never can or will be paid off with taxpayer dollars, now or in the future. Commentators
have been warning for years that the federal debt would soon be so
crippling that foreign investors would flee and the interest alone
would be more than the taxpayers could pay. Why are investors now rushing in to buy the U.S. government’s exploding debt, even at a 0% return? Wouldn’t their money be safer and more liquid tucked under the mattress or left in cash in the bank?
explanation proffered by commentators is that mattresses are vulnerable
to thieves; and the U.S. government, though insolvent, is less likely
to file for bankruptcy than either your local bank or your local
government. If your bank goes bankrupt, your money will
become part of an FDIC receivership. You may get it back eventually,
but you could be doing without it for longer than you would like. Another
problem with cash, for investors who have a lot of it, is that it can’t
be moved from place to place without reporting it; and huge amounts of
money are difficult to convert to currency, making it more convenient
to just park the funds in Treasuries.
makes the debt of the insolvent U.S. government less risky than that of
state and local governments is that the federal government has the
power to print its way out of any dollar deficiency. Not
that the Treasury actually prints Federal Reserve Notes (dollar bills)
– the Federal Reserve does that – but the Treasury can always print
more bonds, which the Federal Reserve can then be counted on to buy
with new dollar bills (or, more often, with new computer entries in
bank accounts). (12/23/08)
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