The Human Predicament
Wednesday, June 15th, 2005
Garrett Hardin wrote: The tragedy of the commons develops in this way. Picture a pasture open
to all. It is to be expected that each herdsman will try to keep as
many cattle as possible on the commons. Such an arrangement may work
reasonably satisfactorily for centuries because tribal wars, poaching,
and disease keep the number of 60th man and beast well below the
carrying capacity of the land. Finally, however, comes the day of
reckoning, that is, the day when the long desired goal of social
stability becomes a reality At this point, the inherent logic of the
commons remorselessly generates tragedy. As a rational being, each herdsman seeks to maximize his gain.
Explicitly or implicitly, more or less consciously, he asks, “What is
the utility to me of adding one more animal to my herd?” This utility
has one negative and one positive component. (1) The positive component is a function of the increment of
one animal. Since the herdsman receives all the proceeds from the sale
of the additional animals, the positive utility is nearly + 1. (2) the negative component is a function of the additional
overgrazing created by one more animal. Since however, the effects of
overgrazing are shared by all the herdsmen, the negative utility for
any particular decision making herdsman is only a fraction of - 1. Adding together the component partial utilities, the rational
herdsman concludes that the only sensible course for him to pursue is
to add another animal to this herd. And another; and another…But this
is the conclusion reached by each and every rational herdsman sharing a
commons. Therein is the tragedy. Each man is locked into a system that
compels him to increase his herd without limit-in a world that is
limited. Ruin is the destination toward which all men rush, each
pursuing his own best interest in a society that believes in the
freedom of the commons. Freedom in a commons brings ruin to all. (06/15/05)
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